JP Morgan the world economy 35 years of super cycle was broken because of China 瀬名アスカ

JP Morgan: the world economy 35 years of super cycle was broken because of China? China’s aging intensified, according to foreign media reports, Deutsche Bank (Deutsche Bank) analyst, Jim • • • (Jim Reid) made a warning that the world economy has been broken 35 years of super cycle. Reed believes that the development trend of the global population, including from Chinese and India nearly one billion of the price of cheap labor, another 35 to 54 years old skilled workers are old, these are the people who created the super cycle of the world economy for 35 years, but this cycle will be reversed. Reed further warned that if investors, politicians and central bankers in the previous 35 years to calculate the situation, it is wrong. China’s aging is far more than Europe, the United States, the end of 1970, China’s economic rise into the global economy is the beginning of today’s economic crisis. The collapse of the iron curtain (1988 -1991) also makes its further development for ten years. India’s economic liberalisation in 1991 was followed by the IMF bailout. These two factors also contributed to the global economy has increased by more than one billion cheap labor. This coincided with a large demand for labor, creating a large number of labor force. Look further, around 1980, between 35 and 54 years old, the most efficient workers gathered in the global economic powerhouse. The number of workers has peaked and has fallen in the past ten years. This may change the main themes of the world since 1980. Reed believes that the trend of globalization over the past decade has increased the labor force for the global economy by one billion. And the global emergency has grown dramatically over the past twenty years. That is to say, in developed countries, like manufacturing or some other low tech work has been assigned to the cheap labor area, the yield in emerging markets has become a victim of the middle class. Another feature similar to that after 1980 is "globalization". The whole world economic activities become more concentrated and trade protectionism is serious, the two World War and the more heavy financial supervision led to the economic activities gradually deepen depression, trade protectionism. Especially in recent years, globalization has caused a lot of turbulence in many developed countries. The top 1% of the world’s population, which is mostly made up of rich people in rich countries, has been growing, but the growth has not been higher than the median income. The development of a large population of developing countries, especially China and India, is more severe than in the 80-85 ranks. So, compared to the success of developing economies and rich countries, low-income countries in the developed world are losers in the era of globalization. The large scale global integration of labor force in developing countries and the large demand for labor force in globalization have made the labor price of developing countries fall. The lower the technology, the cheaper the labor force), and the fact that some people are moving from poor countries to rich countries, which makes it cheaper for the developed countries to have unskilled labor. The expansion of the European Union and the shift of labor freedom have highlighted the theme相关的主题文章: